TSMC Earnings Surpass Expectations Amid AI Investment Surge
In a remarkable display of financial prowess, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) reported earnings that exceeded analysts’ already high expectations, fueled by a global upswing in AI investments. The sustained enthusiasm in AI-driven sectors has significantly bolstered TSMC’s performance, especially as it continues to provide critical chips for tech giants such as Apple Inc. and Nvidia Corp.
Market anticipation reached a fever pitch in the lead-up to TSMC’s quarterly report. The company announced a net income of NT$247.8 billion ($7.6 billion), surpassing predictions of a 29% increase in earnings. Sales in the second quarter surged at their fastest rate since 2022, prompting speculation that TSMC might raise its full-year outlook. As a consequence, the semiconductor giant's stock has experienced considerable growth, with its market capitalization even briefly exceeding the $1 trillion mark, propelled by robust demand for Nvidia chips and an improved outlook in the smartphone market.
Apple, one of TSMC’s major clients, has reported stabilized handset sales and provided optimistic guidance regarding upcoming iPhone 16 shipments, suggesting a strong market presence bolstered by new AI tools. This aligns with positive indicators from companies like ASML Holding NV, which reported a significant 23.7% increase in order bookings for the second quarter. This uptick is indicative of healthy progress in TSMC’s N2 development, aimed to begin mass production in the second half of 2025.
Despite these gains, caution persists among investors. Concerns were heightened following comments by US Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, expressing ambivalence towards defending Taiwan against potential Chinese aggression. Additionally, reports of the US considering stricter chip curbs on China have triggered a selloff in global tech stocks, reflecting the fragile state of the semiconductor industry in a geopolitical context.
Market analysts are also cautious regarding AI spending. Goldman Sachs recently warned that major US tech firms might be over-investing in AI. A note from SemiAnalysis’s Chaolien Tseng suggested that TSMC's stock could suffer if the company fails to achieve the anticipated 25% revenue growth for 2024. Nevertheless, TSMC CEO C.C. Wei has reaffirmed expectations for the company’s full-year revenue growth to fall within the low- to mid-20% range in US dollar terms. The ongoing expansion in AI infrastructure is driving positive sentiment, with capital expenditures projected between $28 billion and $32 billion, and analysts estimating an expenditure of around $29.5 billion.
In conclusion, while TSMC’s financial results highlight substantial gains driven by the AI boom, underlying geopolitical and market investment concerns warrant a measured outlook. Investors remain optimistic yet cautious as the global technology and semiconductor landscape continues to evolve.